Tommy Paul vs Adrian Mannarino Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does their second serve performance compare? Mannarino has won 44.89% of recent second-serve points, while Paul has a slightly better rate at 46.14%.
• In terms of returning, Mannarino edges Paul on second serve returns with 46.04% versus 44.99% but trails in first serve returns with 25.44% compared to Paul’s 26.43%.
• Who handles pressure better? Mannarino has saved 50.9% of breakpoints recently, while Paul has saved slightly more at 51.26%.
• Paul's win-loss record stands at a stronger 69.81% over the past year, compared to Mannarino's 48.05%.
• On which surface do they excel? Both players perform best on Grass, with Paul having a higher win percentage (65%) compared to Mannarino (61%).
• Paul has been competing at a higher competition level, mainly on the Main Tour with a 68.42% win rate, whereas Mannarino's matches have mostly been at Challenger/ITF events with a 52% win rate.
• Their head-to-head record is evenly split with each player having one win. Paul leads marginally in sets won 3-2.
• Each player has had no tiebreaks or deciding set wins against each other.
• Paul has typically faced stronger opponents with an average rank of 76.55, compared to Mannarino's opponents with an average rank of 165.25.
• If this match reaches a deciding set, Paul appears more likely to prevail, having won 65% of deciding sets compared to Mannarino’s 40%.
• Converting break points could be crucial—Paul demonstrates greater efficiency with a 33.13% conversion rate over Mannarino's 26.42%.

Editorial Prediction (August 12, 2025, UTC):

With slightly better recent performances in second serve points and a commendable return game, Paul appears to have a slight edge over Mannarino. His ability to save breakpoints a little more efficiently under pressure could play a vital role in determining the match outcome.

Paul's superior win rate this past year, supported by facing stronger competition, suggests he is more acclimated to high-pressure situations against elite players, likely giving him a mental advantage.

The even head-to-head record points to a closely matched contest, yet Paul's superior conversion of break point opportunities could be pivotal.

When considering Paul's exceptional performance in deciding sets, he seems equipped to handle tight match situations better.

In conclusion, the data suggests that Paul is poised to be the likelier winner in the upcoming match.